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2020年6月份月度分析报告

发布时间: 2019-07-10 14:33:00来源:天博体育平台-首页 字号: [大]  [中]  [小][打印本页]

河北省粮油市场六月份月度分析报告

 

  2020nian6yuefen,woshengxiaomaishichangjiagechuxianxiaofuxiajiang,yumishichangjiagejixushangzhang,mianfenshichangjiagelveyouxiajiang,damishichangjiagejibenbaochipingwen,douyoushichangjiageyousuoxiaxing。

 

新麦集中上市  6月份小麦价格下降

多重利好因素叠加  预计7月份小麦价格将止跌企稳

  yi、shichangzoushi

天博体育平台  6yuefenwoshengzhongdengxiaomaiyuedupingjunshougoujiagewei1.164yuan/jin,jiaoshangyuexiajiang0.025yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqishangzhang0.004yuan/jin,zhangfu0.34%。woshengzhongdengxiaomaiyuedupingjunchukujiagewei1.182yuan/jin,jiaoshangyuexiajiang0.022yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqishangzhang0.005yuan/jin,zhangfu0.42%。

 

天博体育平台  fenshilaikan,dingzhouxiaomaishougoujiagezuigao,shougoujiagewei1.20yuan/jin;baoding、shijiazhuangshougoujiagewei1.18yuan/jin;cangzhoushougoujiagewei1.17yuan/jin;hengshuishougoujiagewei1.158yuan/jin;xingtaishougoujiagewei1.145yuan/jin;

  handan、xinjishougoujiagewei1.135yuan/jin;

  6yuefen,woshengxialiangshougougongzuoyiquanmianzhankai。congmuqianshichangqingkuanglaikan,zaishichangduoyuanzhutirushijijidenglihaoyinsuyingxiangxia,xinmaishichanggouxiaozhubuquyuhuoyue。

  er、jinqiyingxiangwoshengxiaomaijiagedezhuyaoyinsu

  yishiduozhongyinsudiejiatizhenxinmaixingqing。yinjinnianxiaomaizhiliangzhengtijiaohao,rongzhongpubiangao,chiliangzhutixishouxinliqiang、jiagongqiyebukuhechubeikulunhuanjiji,maoyishangkanhaohoushidengyinsuduixinmaixingqingxingchenglihao。

天博体育平台  ershizhongduanxuqiujianruo。xinmaichushangshishi,mianfenjiagongqiyeweijiangdishengchanchengben,daliangcaigoudijiaxinmaibuchongkucun。suizhejijiexingdanjidaolai,zhongduanxuqiupiruan,mianfenzouhuobuchang,mianfenjiagongqiyejibenmeiyoudadingdan,qiyekaijilvdi,jiagongqiyecaigoujijixingjiangdi,erqieduixiaomaipinzhihejiagekongzhiyuelaiyueyange。

天博体育平台  sanshizhengcexingkucunchongyu。jiezhi6yuedi,guojialinchuxiaomaishengyukucunshuliangyue8715wandunzuoyou,tongbizengjia1590wandun。keyikanchu,woguotuoshishougoumianlindecangrongyalijiaoda,congjinlianggeyueguojialinchupaimaidimidechengjiaoliang,keyikanchuchenmaigouxiaojiaoweilengqing,congcemianshuomingshichangxuqiuxiangduijiaoruo。

天博体育平台  san、houqiyingxiangxiaomaijiagedezhuyaoyinsu

天博体育平台  yishijinnianxinmaishougouqihuojianglazhang。jutongji,jiezhi6yue30ri,zhuchanquxiaomaileijishougou2389.2wandun,tongbijianshao219.9wandun,yuwangnianxiangbi,jinnianguoneizhuchanquxinmaishouhuoqisuijiaoshangniantiqian,danyouyuchiliangzhutixishoudengyuanyin,xinmaishougouliangjiaoquniantongqijianshao。

天博体育平台  ershiguanzhutuoshishougouqidong。jiewansusanshengxiangjiqidongzuidishougoujiazhixingyuanzhihou,nanfangmaijiadedaozhicheng。muqianbeifangmaijiachixupianqiangyunxing,suizhexinmaishangshiliangdezengjia,shichangyaliyuqijiangzhubuxianxian,suizhexiaomaijiagexiaxingyalidejiada,yujiqitasanshengbufendiquqidongzuidishougoujiazhixingyuandejilvzengda。

天博体育平台  sanshisiyongxuqiuliangzengjiahuojiangtizhenmaijia。jinqiyumijiagechixushangzhang,erzhejiachajinyibusuoxiao,youbufendiquyumijiageshenzhichaoguoxinmaijiage,xiaomaitidaiyumideyoushixianxian。yujijinnianxiaomailiurusiliaoyongtudeshuliangjianghuizengjia,jiangcongcemiantizhenxinmaixingqing。

天博体育平台  sishiyouzhiyoujiadaoxiangzuoyongmingxian。jinnianxiaomaizhiliangzhengtijiaowangnianpianhao,rongzhongjiaogao,jinnianyouyuyiqingyingxiang,xiaomaikuaquyuliutongjiaowangnianpianshao。xiangduiyupumaijiagedebodong,youzhixiaomaijiagezhengtibaochigaoweishangzhang,jiagebiputongxiaomaigaochu10%yishang。yujijinnianxiashouyouzhimaigouxiaojianghuishishichangliangdian。

天博体育平台  zongdelaikan,jinnianxialiangfengshouyichengdingju,xinmaizhiliangzhengtipianhao,maishigouxiaohuoyue,houqisuizhexinmaishangshiliangdezengjia,jiagongqiyebukuhechubeikulunrujiejinweishengshi,xiaomaijijiexinggongyingyalikenengjinyibuxianxian,yujixinmaijiagehuojiangchuxianhuiluo。

 

6月份我省玉米价格小幅上涨

7月份临储出库在即 市场供应将有效增加

  yi、shichangzoushi

天博体育平台  6yuefenwoshengyumiyuedupingjunshougoujiagewei1.03yuan/jin,jiaoshangyueshangzhang0.01yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqishangzhang0.082yuan/jin,zhangfu8.65%;woshengyumiyuedupingjunchukujiagewei1.06yuan/jin,jiaoshangyueshangzhang0.02yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqishangzhang0.077yuan/jin,zhangfu7.83%。

 

天博体育平台  6yuefenwoshengyumishichangjiagechengxianxiaofushangzhangtaishi,6yuechuwoshengyumipingjunshougoujiagewei1.02yuan/jin,zhihouxiaofushangzhang,yuediweichizai1.05yuan/jin。

  er、shichangfenxi

  6yuefen,suizhelinchukaipai,guoneiyumishichangshangzhangbufabujinmeiyouzhibu,faneryilushangyang,youqishandongbufendiquyijutupo1.15yuan/jindaguan,chuangxiajin5nianlailishixingao。jutifenxiruxia:

  yishiyiqingduijingjichanshengyingxiang,yangxing、nongfaxingchutaixiangduikuansongdehuobizhengce,tigongchongzuzijin。chanqushichangzhutijisiliaoyangzhiqiyejunhuodeledichengbendedaikuan。tongshi,guoyouqiyeyinfengkongjianguanshoujin,tianbotiyupingtailexuduodaishoudaichudaipaiyewu,jiminyingzhutitigongzijinzhichi,zijinkuansongyejishichangzhutidunliangxuqiutigonglezhicheng。

天博体育平台  ershiyiqingdabeijingxia,shichangzijinxuanzenongchanpinzuoweifengxianduichongpinzhong。chuyuduidayiqingbeijingxiaquanqiuliangshianquandedanyou,duanqineishichangzijinduinongchanpinbankuaiguanzhudutishengfudujiada,quanqiuyiqingyingxianglegedagangkouyunshu、jianyidexiaolv,yijibufenguojiashixingjinzhichukoudenglinshizhengce,rangshichangduiweilaiquanqiunongchanpindegongyingchanshengledanyou。nongchanpinqueshiyinglailezhouqixingde“fengkou”,yiqingduiquanqiunongchanpinjiagedeyingxiangyeshixianzhude。

  sanshigongxuqingkuang,gongxuquekoujileshichangqudaozhutidunliangdelilunhexinlizhicheng,tongshizhengcediaokongchichiweichu,2019/2020nianduyumipaimaijieshuhou,guokuwuliangkediaokong,zhuzhangleshichangzhutidunliangdexiangfahexingdong,jiajuleshichangyoumaifangxiangmaifangzhuanbiandesuduhejincheng。shichangfenggezhuanbian,qibeihoushencengcideyuanyinhaishigongxuguanxidebianhua。

天博体育平台  sishilinchupaimaimenjiandi,jinkoubujiyuqi。nianchuyibozhengceyumitoufangjishiyouxiaopingyileshichangjiage。danlinchujiyicixingchubeiyumipaimaimenjiandi,zhenduixingbuqiang,weinengconggenbenshangjiejueshichangyongliangxuqiu,fanerjiqudaozhutidunliangtigonglechongzudeliangyuan。jinkouguwubujiyuqi,weinengxiangnianchuyuqiyiyang,niandudadao2000wan~3000wandun,1yuezhi5yuejinkoutongbisuiyouzengzhang,danyuanbujiyuqi。

  wushijinru7yuefenyihou,linchuliangchukuzhouqilinjin,qianqimaoyishangpaidedeliangjiangzhubuduixianshichang,chukuyalijiangyousuotixian。erchulecibufenlinchuliangyuanwai,shichanghaiyouzhongyang、difangchubeiyijilunhuanliangluxuchuku,zhengceliangduoyangxingshidetoufang,houqishichangliangyuanjinzhangjumianhuoyousuohuanhe。

天博体育平台  yumihoushixingqingfenxiyuzhanwang

  jinru7yuefen,siliaoliangdexuqiubaofaqizhujianjiejin,danshiyumidejiageshizhonggaoweiyunxing,siliaoliangjiagongqiyezaigaochengbendeyalixiawulirunshenzhikuisunkaigong。suizheyumihexiaomaideshichangjiachazhujiansuoxiao,xiaomaitidaiyumizuoweisiliaoliangdeyuancailiaoyoushituxianchulai。

  muqianxinmaiyidaliangliurushichang,zhiliangjiaodidexiaomaijiageyoushiyijingxianxian。suiranshougouxiaomaishengchanjiagongsiliaoliangdeqiyeshaozhiyoushao,danshicongyingyangchengdulaikan,jiuyumixiaomaibenshendenenglianglaishuo,chabiebingbuda,danchuqinduiyumihexiaomaidenengliangxiaohualvyousuobutong。suiranliangzhejiagechiping,shenzhiyumijiagelvegaoyudizhiliangxiaomai,danshisiliaoliangzhiliangwentiyeshisiliaoliangqiyefeichangshenzhongkaolvde,suoyisiliaoliangjiagongqiyezaiyuancailiaoxuanzeshang,yijiuyiyumiweizhu。congmuqianqushilaikan,xiaomaitidaiyumizuoweisiliaoyuanliaozaijiageshangzhujianjubeitiaojian。shenjiagongqiyezaixuanzeshangyijiuhaishijianchiyiyumizuoweiyuancailiaoweizhu,bijingyeyaokaolvqitacailiaochengben。

  duiyuguoneiyumishichangeryan,qianqipaimaidedapilianglinchuyumijijiangzai7yuekaishichuku,bufencanpaizhutiyijingkaishijiakuaijinxing,yuji7yuezhongxiaxunshichanggongyingjiangzhubuzengjia,shichangjiagehuojiangpingwen。lingwaihaixuguanzhuhouqitianqibianhua,dangqianguoneizhuchanquyijinruxunqi,tianqijiangduixinjiyumishengzhangqidaozhiguanzhongyaodeyingxiang。

 

6月份面粉价格略有下降

预计7月份面粉价格将继续保持平稳

  yi、shichangzoushi

  6yuefen,woshengxianjijimaoshichangmianfen(25gongjin/daifuqiangfen)pingjunpifajiawei1.73yuan/jin,jiaoshangyuexiajiang0.02yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqishangzhang0.03yuan/jin,zhangfu1.76%;pingjunlingshoujiawei1.82yuan/jin,jiaoshangyuexiajiang0.01yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqishangzhang0.01yuan/jin,zhangfu0.55%。

 

  er、shichangfenxi

天博体育平台  suizhetianqiyuelaiyuere,mianfenbaoguannanduzengjia,zaijiashangyingjiguaguoshucaidaliangshangshi,renmenyoulegengduodexiaofeixuanze,duimiandianleishicaidexiaofeixuqiujiangdi。duiyuzhifenqiyeeryan,weiweichizhengchangshengchan,qiyeduotongguojiangdikaijilv、caiyongsuixiaosuijiagongyiweihulaokehudegangxingxuqiuweizhu。zuijinyuanliangchengbenyizhizaishangzhang,weibaozhenglirun,qiyetingjiayiyuanjiaoqiang。jinqifupijiagezhengtiwenzhongpianqiangyunxing,suizhetianqiyuelaiyuere,fupichucuntiaojianshouxian,zaijiazhisiliaoqiyecaigoufupidejijixingbujiwangniantongqi,jiangzhiyuefupijiageshangzhangfudu。

  yujihouqiwoshengmianfenjiagejianghuiyiwenweizhu。

 

6月份大米市场平稳运行

7月份消费淡季去库存为主  预计大米价格保持平稳

  yi、shichangzoushi

  6yuefen,woshengjimaoshichangdongbeiyuanlijingmi(25gongjinzhuang)pingjunpifajiawei2.48yuan/jin,jiaoshangyueshangzhang0.01yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqixiajiang0.005yuan/jin,jiangfu0.2%;pingjunlingshoujiawei2.63yuan/jin,jiaoshangyuexiajiang0.01yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqixiajiang0.01yuan/jin,jiangfu0.38%。

 

  zhengtilaikan,6yuefenwoshengdamishichangjiagejibenpingwenyunxing,xingtaipifajunjiazuidiwei2.31yuan/jin,dingzhoupifajunjiazuigaowei2.56yuan/jin。

  er、shichangfenxi

天博体育平台  6yuefen,daomishichangzhengtichuyuruoshizhendangxingqing,zhengcexingdaogupaimaichengjiaoliangchuyudiweipaihuai,chendaoxuqiushouxian,jiagejiejiexiaxing,daomishichangquefaliduoxiaoxitizhen。jutifenxiruxia:

  yishizhengcepaimaidimi。zaixiaofeidanjichixudeqingkuangxia,shichangduiyuanliangdexuqiuzhengtiyouxian,zhengcexingdaogupaimaichengjiaoliangchixudiweiyunxing,jiashangmiqikaijilvxiahua,bufenqiyetingjijianxiu,duanqixuqiubaohe。

  ershishichanggongxukuansong。jingdaoshichangxingqingzhuyaoyoupaimaizhudao,suizhezhengcexingdaoguzengliangtoufang,shichangzhuticanyujingdaopaimaigengjiajinshen,dunliangyiyuanzhujianxiajiang,duoyisuiyongsuicaiweizhu。nanfangxiaoqujinrumeiyujijie,damibaoguannandujiada,maoyishangzouhuoliangxiajiang。

天博体育平台  sanshidaomishichangchuyujijiexingxiaofeidanji,jiagejixuruoshidiaozheng。muqianmichangjiagongchuyudaoguazhuangtai,daogujiagechuyuxiangduigaowei,damichuchangjiageshizhongchuyuxiangduidiwei,daogujiagongchuyubaobenhuoweikuizhuangtai,michangzhinengliyongqianqikucunhefuchanpinlirunlaiweichizhangqikehuguanxi。

  sishiyoujiawushixingqingtuxian。youyuzhongduanxuqiudimi,bufenmichangchuyutinggonghuobantinggongzhuangtai,yuanliangshichangxuqiuxiangduijiaoshao。guochuhedichudaogupaimaichixu,yuanlianggongyingxiangduichongzu。dangqianchuyudamijijiexingxiaofeidanji,xiaofeishoudaobutongchengduyingxiang,zouhuoliangxiajiangmingxian,yizhidaomixingqing。

天博体育平台  zongtilaijiang,muqianguoneidaogushichangjiagejibenwending,suizheqiwendeshenggao,chucunnandujiada,jiashangguochuchenliangdeluxuchuku,shichangchuyubaohezhuangtai,juntuoleijingdaojiage。

  san、houqizoushifenxi

天博体育平台  congdaogudeshichanggouxiaoqingkuanglaikan,daojiazhengtiwending,yinci7yuefenmijiazhengtishangzhangdegailvbuda,jutifenxiruxia:

天博体育平台  yishiguojialinchutoufangchangtaihua。dangqianguojialinchudaogutoufangliangjiaoda,zhoudutoufangjunzai300wandunyishang。miqicanpaijijixingyegao,danjiyudangqiandamixiaoshouxianzhuang,zhengtiyijiabuji4yuefen,yincidaizheipiyuanliangchukuhou,mijiakongjianghaiyouxiaofuhuiluodekongjian。dangqianguojialinchutoufangyichixulelianggeyue,xiaoqushichanggongyingchongzu,tianqire,gaowenduoyudamibianzhijilvzengjia,tongshi7yuefengediqujinrushuqijianggengjiaxianzhidamijiagezougao。

  ershiguojialinchuyijiang2019nianchandaogujiarupaimaixulie,manzumiqibutongnianfendexuqiu,tebieshi19nianchanzhongwanxiandaotoufanghou,yizhiledaojiajixushangzhang,qizhongfengliangyoudaoguzai1.40yuan/jindeshidaiyiguoqu,damizhongduanxuqiupiruan,daojiayesuizhihuiluo。

  sanshinuomishichanggouxiaojieshu。duanwujieyiguo,nuomishichanggouxiaozangaoyigeduanluo。4yuemo,suizheyuenanchutaizhengcefangkaichukoudami,daozhiguoneiwainuomijiagelianxuxiadie,jingxiaoshangcaigoujijixingxiajiang,guanwangweizhu,shichangchengxianchuwangjibuwangdexingqing。yuenanxiaqiujinuomijijiangdaogang,8yuezhongxunguochanzaonuoluxushangshiyijidongbeichanqurengyouchennuomixiaoshou,shichanggongyingxiangduichongzu,dafufandandegailvkongbuda。

天博体育平台  zongshangsuoshu,jinru7yuefenguoneidamishichangxuqiurengjiangyigangxuweizhu,shangzhangdegailvbuda。

 

6月份豆油价格微幅下跌

预计7月份豆油价格将平稳运行

  yi、douyoushichangzoushi

天博体育平台  6yuefen,woshengjimaoshichangdouyou(xiaobaozhuang5l/tong)pingjunpifajiagewei4.77yuan/jin,jiaoshangyuexiadie0.03yuan/jin,diefu0.63%,jiaoquniantongqishangzhang0.26yuan/jin,zhangfu5.45%;pingjunlingshoujiagewei5.11yuan/jin,jiaoshangyuejiagexiadie0.06yuan/jin,jiaoquniantongqishangzhang0.23yuan/jin,zhangfu4.71%。

 

  er、shichangfenxi

  6yue,woshengdouyoujiageweifuxiadie,fenxihouqiyingxiangdouyoujiagedezhuyaoyinsuyou:

天博体育平台  yishiguochudadou“xishuizhangliu”shidetoufang,buzuyihuanjieshichangdangqiande“jike”。zaixinyijidadougongxupinghengdejiangjiaqujiandaolaizhiqian,dadoushenjiagongqiyewunaidixuanzeziwoxiaohuagaochengben,jiannandiweichizheshengcun。jiuqiyuanyin,zhuyaoshigongxushihengsuozhi。zaijiazhizhongchuliangbuduantijiashougou,duishichangjiageqidaolejinyibuhangshidezuoyong。houqisuizheyiqingdehaozhuan,xiayouxuqiuhuifu,guochandadoushichanggongxuquekoujiangjinyibukuoda,congertuishengjiagechixupansheng,guochandadoujiageyinglai“gaoguangshike”。

天博体育平台  ershimuqianguochandadouzhengtishehuikucunjiaodi,buzuyimanzuxuqiu,yinglailedafududeshangzhang。keshizheizhongshangzhangshibukechixude,zaidadoubutiezhengcexia,dadoujiagedexiadiequshibuhuigaibian,tebieshidangdadoudechanlianghaizaidafuduzengjiadeqingkuangxia,weilaidadoudekucunhaishichongzude。

天博体育平台  sanshisuiranzhongmeimaoyiguanxiweilaicunzaiyidingbianshu,dansuizhezhongmeimaoyiguanxigaiguan,woguozhongxindaliangcaigoumeiguodadoubiranhuiduiguoneidouyoushichangzaochengyali。weilaijigeyuewoguocaigoumeiguodadoudejiezouheshuliang,jiangchengweiguoneidouyouxingqingzhijieqiezhongyaodeyingxiangyinsu。

天博体育平台  sishidouyouxiaofeijiangdi,kucunduanqinanqu。guoqujinian,guoneidouyouxiaofeizengfuyizhiwendingzai2%—3%,jinnianshouyiqingyingxiang,douyoudenianxiaofeihenkenengchuxianshaoyoudefuzengzhang,qukucunyalida,congerhuixianzhidouyouxiangshangdekongjian。suizhehouxujinkoudadouluxudaogang,zaijulizhongqiu、guoqingjiarixiaofeiwangjirengyouyiduanshijiandeqingkuangxia,douyoukucunrengjiangjilei,bingduidouyoujiagechanshengyidingdezulizuoyong。

  wushihongguanjingjichengya,youzhishoudaoqianlei。genjulishishuju,douyouxingqingtongchangyujingjihuanjingguanxijinmi,bingqiezuoweishengwuchaiyoudeyuanliao,zhiwuyouyuyuanyoudejiagezoushiyeshifenjiejin。jinqiyuanyoujiageyidudiezhiyiweishu,jiaogeyueshenzhichuxianfujiage。yinertianbotiyupingtaishengwuchaiyoudexiaofeiticaiziranshoudaoyingxiang。ruohouxuyuanyoujiagerengtabubuqian,guoneidouyoudengxiangguanzhiwuyoushichangyenanyichuxiandadequshixingqing。

天博体育平台  zongshangsuoshu,yujihouqidouyoushichangjiagejiangyipingwenyunxingweizhu。

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